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The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of t...
28,99 € *
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Taleb delivers a groundbreaking look at the role played by the unexpected in life and history, and a fascinating examination of why we know less than we think we do--and what to do about it. The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb´s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don´t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don´t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ´´impossible.´´ For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don´t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, ´´On Robustness and Fragility,´´ which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb ´´The most prophetic voice of all.´´-GQ Praise for The Black Swan ´´[A book] that altered modern thinking.´´-The Times (London) ´´A masterpiece.´´-Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail ´´Idiosyncratically brilliant.´´-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times ´´The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.´´-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate ´´[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.´´-The Wall Street Journal ´´Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into.´´-Financial Times ´´Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.´´-The New York Times Book Review

Anbieter: buecher.de
Stand: 16.07.2019
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The Black Swan, Second Edition: The Impact of t...
9,95 € *
ggf. zzgl. Versand

The Black Swan is a stand-alone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ´´impossible”.For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, ´´On Robustness and Fragility”, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.Elegant, startling, and universal in its applicat 1. Language: English. Narrator: Joe Ochman. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/rand/006496/bk_rand_006496_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 26.06.2019
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Chaos Monkeys
7,99 € *
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Imagine a chimpanzee rampaging through a data center powering everything from Google to Facebook. Infrastructure engineers use a software version of this ´´chaos monkey´´ to test online services´ robustness-their ability to survive random failure and correct mistakes before they actually occur. Tech entrepreneurs are society´s chaos monkeys, disruptors testing and transforming every aspect of our lives, from transportation (Uber) and lodging (Airbnb) to television (Netflix) and dating (Tinder). One of Silicon Valley´s most provocative chaos monkeys is Antonio García Martínez. After stints on Wall Street and as CEO of his own startup, García Martínez joined Facebook´s nascent advertising team, until he was forced out in the wake of an internal product war over the future of the company´s monetization strategy, and eventually landed at rival Twitter. In Chaos Monkeys, this gleeful contrarian unravels the chaotic evolution of social media and online marketing and lays bare the hijinks, trade secrets, and power plays of the visionaries, grunts, sociopaths, opportunists, accidental tourists, and money cowboys who are revolutionizing our world.

Anbieter: buecher.de
Stand: 16.07.2019
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Chaos Monkeys - Revised Edition: Obscene Fortun...
9,95 € *
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The instant New York Times best seller, now featuring a new afterword from the author - the insider´s guide to the Facebook/Cambridge Analytica scandal, the inner workings of the tech world, and who really runs Silicon Valley.Imagine a chimpanzee rampaging through a datacenter powering everything from Google to Facebook. Infrastructure engineers use a software version of this ´´chaos monkey” to test Online services’ robustness - their ability to survive random failure and correct mistakes before they actually occur. Tech entrepreneurs are society’s chaos monkeys. One of Silicon Valley’s most audacious chaos monkeys is Antonio García Martínez.After stints on Wall Street and as CEO of his own startup, García Martínez joined Facebook’s nascent advertising team. Forced out in the wake of an internal product war over the future of the company’s monetization strategy, García Martínez eventually landed at rival Twitter. In Chaos Monkeys, this gleeful contrarian unravels the chaotic evolution of social media and online marketing and reveals how it is invading our lives and shaping our future. 1. Language: English. Narrator: Dan John Miller. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/harp/007656/bk_harp_007656_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 26.06.2019
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Chaos Monkeys
12,99 € *
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INSTANT NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER An NPR Best Book of the Year - A Business Insider Top 20 Business Book of the Year - An Inc. Best Book of the Year for Entrepreneurs and Small Business Owners ´´Incisive.... The most fun business book I have read this year.... Clearly there will be people who hate this book - which is probably one of the things that makes it such a great read.´´ - Andrew Ross Sorkin, New York Times ´´Eye-popping.´´ - Vanity Fair Liar´s Poker meets The Social Network in an irreverent exposé of life inside the tech bubble, from industry provocateur Antonio García Martínez, a former Twitter advisor, Facebook product manager and startup founder/CEO. The reality is, Silicon Valley capitalism is very simple: Investors are people with more money than time. Employees are people with more time than money. Entrepreneurs are the seductive go-between. Marketing is like sex: only losers pay for it. Imagine a chimpanzee rampaging through a datacenter powering everything from Google to Facebook. Infrastructure engineers use a software version of this ´´chaos monkey´´ to test online services´ robustness-their ability to survive random failure and correct mistakes before they actually occur. Tech entrepreneurs are society´s chaos monkeys, disruptors testing and transforming every aspect of our lives, from transportation (Uber) and lodging (AirBnB) to television (Netflix) and dating (Tinder). One of Silicon Valley´s most audacious chaos monkeys is Antonio García Martínez. After stints on Wall Street and as CEO of his own startup, García Martínez joined Facebook´s nascent advertising team, turning its users´ data into profit for COO Sheryl Sandberg and chairman and CEO Mark ´´Zuck´´ Zuckerberg. Forced out in the wake of an internal product war over the future of the company´s monetization strategy, García Martínez eventually landed at rival Twitter. He also fathered two children with a woman he barely knew, committed lewd acts and brewed illegal beer on the Facebook campus (accidentally flooding Zuckerberg´s desk), lived on a sailboat, raced sport cars on the 101, and enthusiastically pursued the life of an overpaid Silicon Valley wastrel. Now, this gleeful contrarian unravels the chaotic evolution of social media and online marketing and reveals how it is invading our lives and shaping our future. Weighing in on everything from startups and credit derivatives to Big Brother and data tracking, social media monetization and digital ´´privacy,´´ García Martínez shares his scathing observations and outrageous antics, taking us on a humorous, subversive tour of the fascinatingly insular tech industry. Chaos Monkeys lays bare the hijinks, trade secrets, and power plays of the visionaries, grunts, sociopaths, opportunists, accidental tourists, and money cowboys who are revolutionizing our world. The question is, will we survive?

Anbieter: buecher.de
Stand: 16.07.2019
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Linked: The New Science of Networks , Hörbuch, ...
9,95 € *
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From a cocktail party to a terrorist cell, from an ancient bacteria to an international conglomerate - all are networks, and all are part of a surprising scientific revolution. A maverick group of scientists is discovering that all networks have a deep underlying order and operate according to simple but powerful rules. This knowledge promises to shed light on the spread of fads and viruses, the robustness of ecosystems, the vulnerability of economies - even the future of democracy. Now, for the first time, a scientist whose own work has transformed the study of ´´links and nodes´´ takes us inside the unfolding network revolution. Albert-Laszlo Barabasi traces the fascinating history of connected systems, beginning with mathematician Leonhard Euler´s first forays into graph theory in the late 1700s and culminating in biologists´ development of cancer drugs based on a new understanding of cellular networks. Combining narrative flare with sparkling insights, Barabasi introduces us to the myriad modern-day ´´cartographers´´ mapping networks in a range of scientific disciplines. Aided by powerful computers, they are proving that social networks, corporations, and cells are more similar than they are different. Their discoveries provide an important new perspective on the interconnected world around us. Linked reveals how Google came to be the Internet´s most popular search engine, how Vernon Jordan´s social network affects the entire American economy, what it would take to bring down a terrorist organization like al Qaeda, and why an obscure finding of Einstein´s could change the way we look at the networks in our own lives. Understanding the structure and behavior of networks will forever alter our world, allowing us to design the ´´perfect´´ business or stop a disease outbreak before it goes global. Engaging and authoritative, Linked provides an exciting preview of the next century in science. Also available in print from 1. Language: English. Narrator: Henry Leyva. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/rhau/000109/bk_rhau_000109_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 26.06.2019
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The Black Swan
12,99 € *
ggf. zzgl. Versand

The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb´s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don´t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don´t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ´´impossible.´´ For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don´t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, ´´On Robustness and Fragility,´´ which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb ´´The most prophetic voice of all.´´-GQ Praise for The Black Swan ´´[A book] that altered modern thinking.´´-The Times (London) ´´A masterpiece.´´-Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail ´´Idiosyncratically brilliant.´´-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times ´´The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.´´-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate ´´[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.´´-The Wall Street Journal ´´Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into.´´-Financial Times ´´Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.´´-The New York Times Book Review

Anbieter: buecher.de
Stand: 16.07.2019
Zum Angebot